BOOM: half of Londoners on the verge of going Green
According to new polling from Ipsos, more than half of Londoners are considering a switch to the Green Party. This is good news for it, but it’s also a sign that they need to keep fighting to earn every vote.
> Excl: Half of Londoners are considering voting for Zack Polanski's Green Party in the upcoming local elections according to new polling by [@Ipsos](https://twitter.com/Ipsos), shared with the [@NewStatesman](https://twitter.com/NewStatesman) [pic.twitter.com/p1O0lJ0kwk](https://t.co/p1O0lJ0kwk)
>
> — megan kenyon (@meganekenyon) [April 21, 2026](https://twitter.com/meganekenyon/status/2046543319858057366)
And this isn’t the only positive poll for the Greens either.
The Green Party on the up
-------------------------
As Kenyon notes, the Gorton & Denton by-election proved to voters that the Green Party aren’t a wasted vote. That by-election showed us something else too; namely that polling tends to underestimate the Green Party.
The following was the final tally in Gorton & Denton:
>  Gorton and Denton by-election result:
>
>  Grn: 40.7% (+27.5)
>  Ref: 28.7% (+14.6)
>  Lab: 25.4% (-25.4)
>  Con: 1.9% (-6.0)
>  Lib: 1.8% (-2.0)
>
> Green GAIN from Labour (26.5% swing) [pic.twitter.com/s49MGW8Uom](https://t.co/s49MGW8Uom)
>
> — Stats for Lefties  (@LeftieStats) [February 27, 2026](https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/2027307730554486796)
In the runup to election day, some polls had the Greens in the lead, but they didn’t have them outperforming the runner up by 12 percentage points:
>  Final estimate for Gorton and Denton:
>
>  Grn: 31% (+18)
>  Ref: 28% (+14)
>  Lab: 27% (-24)
>
> Green GAIN from Labour (+/- vs GE2024) [pic.twitter.com/xO5zyhef02](https://t.co/xO5zyhef02)
>
> — Stats for Lefties  (@LeftieStats) [February 26, 2026](https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/2027164558947704958)
While the latest poll is good news, leader Zack Polanski is urging his fellow Green Party members to keep up the energy:
> This is all really promising – but there's no space for complacency at all. Nothing is certain.
>
> We will be out campaigning for every single vote in the next couple of weeks.
>
> Join us: <https://t.co/Q27Jy5eX7z> <https://t.co/2MqpRPGOlW>
>
> — Zack Polanski (@ZackPolanski) [April 21, 2026](https://twitter.com/ZackPolanski/status/2046549674559988032)
The Greens have had other favourable polls too:
> There’s a scenario here where the Greens gain more seats than reform on May 7th?? 
>
> That would be absolutely wild. More in common polls don’t even usually put the Greens as high as other pollsters. <https://t.co/iyf8mb8tMP>
>
> — Zoe Gardner (@ZoeJardiniere) [April 21, 2026](https://twitter.com/ZoeJardiniere/status/2046519743046095340)
In full, the post Gardner is replying to reads:
> More in Common Locals Seat Projection Scenarios:
>
> **Low Estimate:**
> Reform: +1,273
> Green: +573
> Lib Dem: +148
> Labour: -1,867
> Conservative: -692
>
> **Middle Estimate:**
> Reform: +1,437
> Green: +926
> Lib Dem: +327
> Labour: -1,738
> Conservative: -627
>
> **High Estimate:**
> Green: +1,741
> Reform: +1,603
> Lib Dem: +503
> Labour: -1,597
> Conservative: -368
>
> Source:
> @Moreincommon\_
> May 7 Briefing
In other words, the Greens could do well in May, or they could do really well, or they could do really, *really*fucking well.
The poll story
--------------
Of course, polls don’t actually predict the future, and not every poll is brilliant for the Green Party. As we reported earlier today, [the latest YouGov poll presents a favourable picture for Reform](https://www.thecanary.co/trending/2026/04/21/labour-polling-new/), but they also had positive predictions in Gorton & Denton.
The Greens are clearly persuading voters that they’re worth considering, and that’s a victory regardless of how many seats they ultimately win.
> We deserve better.
>
> And we can vote for it on May 7th. <https://t.co/SLQItLk61O>
>
> — Zack Polanski (@ZackPolanski) [April 17, 2026](https://twitter.com/ZackPolanski/status/2045187437551288421)
*Featured image via [Barold](https://x.com/JustBarold)*
By [Willem Moore](https://www.thecanary.co/author/willem-moore/)
---
**From [Canary](https://www.thecanary.co/feed) via [This RSS Feed](https://www.thecanary.co/feed).**
According to new polling from Ipsos, more than half of Londoners are considering a switch to the Green Party. This is good news for it, but it’s also a sign that they need to keep fighting to earn every vote.
> Excl: Half of Londoners are considering voting for Zack Polanski's Green Party in the upcoming local elections according to new polling by [@Ipsos](https://twitter.com/Ipsos), shared with the [@NewStatesman](https://twitter.com/NewStatesman) [pic.twitter.com/p1O0lJ0kwk](https://t.co/p1O0lJ0kwk)
>
> — megan kenyon (@meganekenyon) [April 21, 2026](https://twitter.com/meganekenyon/status/2046543319858057366)
And this isn’t the only positive poll for the Greens either.
The Green Party on the up
-------------------------
As Kenyon notes, the Gorton & Denton by-election proved to voters that the Green Party aren’t a wasted vote. That by-election showed us something else too; namely that polling tends to underestimate the Green Party.
The following was the final tally in Gorton & Denton:
>  Gorton and Denton by-election result:
>
>  Grn: 40.7% (+27.5)
>  Ref: 28.7% (+14.6)
>  Lab: 25.4% (-25.4)
>  Con: 1.9% (-6.0)
>  Lib: 1.8% (-2.0)
>
> Green GAIN from Labour (26.5% swing) [pic.twitter.com/s49MGW8Uom](https://t.co/s49MGW8Uom)
>
> — Stats for Lefties  (@LeftieStats) [February 27, 2026](https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/2027307730554486796)
In the runup to election day, some polls had the Greens in the lead, but they didn’t have them outperforming the runner up by 12 percentage points:
>  Final estimate for Gorton and Denton:
>
>  Grn: 31% (+18)
>  Ref: 28% (+14)
>  Lab: 27% (-24)
>
> Green GAIN from Labour (+/- vs GE2024) [pic.twitter.com/xO5zyhef02](https://t.co/xO5zyhef02)
>
> — Stats for Lefties  (@LeftieStats) [February 26, 2026](https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/2027164558947704958)
While the latest poll is good news, leader Zack Polanski is urging his fellow Green Party members to keep up the energy:
> This is all really promising – but there's no space for complacency at all. Nothing is certain.
>
> We will be out campaigning for every single vote in the next couple of weeks.
>
> Join us: <https://t.co/Q27Jy5eX7z> <https://t.co/2MqpRPGOlW>
>
> — Zack Polanski (@ZackPolanski) [April 21, 2026](https://twitter.com/ZackPolanski/status/2046549674559988032)
The Greens have had other favourable polls too:
> There’s a scenario here where the Greens gain more seats than reform on May 7th?? 
>
> That would be absolutely wild. More in common polls don’t even usually put the Greens as high as other pollsters. <https://t.co/iyf8mb8tMP>
>
> — Zoe Gardner (@ZoeJardiniere) [April 21, 2026](https://twitter.com/ZoeJardiniere/status/2046519743046095340)
In full, the post Gardner is replying to reads:
> More in Common Locals Seat Projection Scenarios:
>
> **Low Estimate:**
> Reform: +1,273
> Green: +573
> Lib Dem: +148
> Labour: -1,867
> Conservative: -692
>
> **Middle Estimate:**
> Reform: +1,437
> Green: +926
> Lib Dem: +327
> Labour: -1,738
> Conservative: -627
>
> **High Estimate:**
> Green: +1,741
> Reform: +1,603
> Lib Dem: +503
> Labour: -1,597
> Conservative: -368
>
> Source:
> @Moreincommon\_
> May 7 Briefing
In other words, the Greens could do well in May, or they could do really well, or they could do really, *really*fucking well.
The poll story
--------------
Of course, polls don’t actually predict the future, and not every poll is brilliant for the Green Party. As we reported earlier today, [the latest YouGov poll presents a favourable picture for Reform](https://www.thecanary.co/trending/2026/04/21/labour-polling-new/), but they also had positive predictions in Gorton & Denton.
The Greens are clearly persuading voters that they’re worth considering, and that’s a victory regardless of how many seats they ultimately win.
> We deserve better.
>
> And we can vote for it on May 7th. <https://t.co/SLQItLk61O>
>
> — Zack Polanski (@ZackPolanski) [April 17, 2026](https://twitter.com/ZackPolanski/status/2045187437551288421)
*Featured image via [Barold](https://x.com/JustBarold)*
By [Willem Moore](https://www.thecanary.co/author/willem-moore/)
---
**From [Canary](https://www.thecanary.co/feed) via [This RSS Feed](https://www.thecanary.co/feed).**